vote early, then vote again

That's the strategy in Texas. Early voting before the primary, mobilize voters during the day of the primary, then as soon as the polls close, do what has been dubbed the Texas two-step, show up for the caucuses, where you can vote again.

The Texas Democratic Party, which has some of the most convoluted delegate appropriation procedures since Nevada awards two-thirds of its delegates by popular vote (but there's a catch!) and the remaining one-third by caucus. The catch is the popular vote delegates are awarded based upon how Democratically precints voted in the last 2 Texas elections. Dub-the-Shrub carried the state in 2004 and Republican Rick Perry was elected Governor in 2006.

Therefore some areas of the state which historically have been Democratic will be awarded fewer delegates tomorrow because they voted Republican of late. Austin, Dallas, and Houston voted overwhelmingly Democratic in '04 and '06, so they'll get a disproportionate share of delegates come Tuesday. This could help Obama because he's expected to do well in these areas. He's not expected to do so well in outlying, largely Hispanic border counties.

It sounds confusing because it is. The only map which even came close to showing how the state would divide its delegates was this geologic map of the state, and yes, it clearly shows it to be a confusing mess. A few high ranking Texas Democratic Party officials know how the process works and when they determine a winner, I'm sure they'll let us know.

I think a knockout blow by Obama is unlikely tomorrow. This is HRC's one good chance to be Prez. and Bill's chance to be Vice-Prez. No one's done that before, and they may be the most ambitious couple in America.